1. Do not be overly
concerned about whipsaws a good trend pays for them all.
A whipsaw is when you enter a
position but get stopped out quickly when the market reverses
opposite to your position. If you are a trend trader this may happen
many times in a row in a range bound market. This can be very
frustrating to a trader and it may cause them to completely change
their method. The fact is that one really good trend will pay for all
of these whipsaws as long as you keep your losses small, and if you
change your system you lose the benefit of that big trend.
To avoid
whipsaw losses, stop trading. -Ed Seykota
2. When you catch a Trend,
ride it to the end.
Your system must be able to
jump on a trending market, but then also be able to ride that trend
to the end. Most new traders will jump out of trades before they are
finished trending because they are scared the market has gone too far
and will take back their paper profits. Let a trailing stop take you
out of a trade when the trend is over, and only exit once you are
stopped out.
The
trend is your friend except at the end where it bends. -Ed Seykota
3. When you show a loss,
give the loss a toss.
Every single successful trader
ever interviewed as far as I have read has said something along the
lines of “Cut your losses short”,”Let your winners run.”
“Pull the weeds, water the flowers”.
The
elements of good trading are cutting losses, cutting losses, and
cutting losses. -Ed Seykota
4: We know if our risk is
right when we make a lot of money, but can still sleep at night.
Risk is the amount of risk per
trade: the dollars risked between your entry and your stop loss based
on your position size and what percent this is of the total capital
in your trading account. Also how much your total risk is in regards
to how many positions you have open at one time as a capital at risk
for your entire account.
Here’s
the essence of risk management: Risk no more than you can afford to
lose, and also risk enough so that a win is meaningful. If there is
no such amount, don’t play. -Ed Seykota
5. When price breaks
through, or there is a shock news announcement – DO NOTHING.
Your stops are already set.
Stick with your stop losses.
Do not let anything stop you from exiting a trade based on your
predetermined stop.
It can
be very expensive to try to convince the markets you are right. -Ed
Seykota
6. When you get a drawdown
(or series of losses), stick to your plan and pull the trigger on
your entry signals.
A draw down in equity happens
to all traders not just new traders. This is where the trader has a
long string of losses or an overall losing period. If you are
averaging 50% wins in your trading, you will still have a series of
1o losses at some point in your account.
Don’t change your methods in
a draw down. If you have tested your system and it works, stick to it
and keep taking your entry signals or you will miss that one big
trend that pays for all or most of the previous losses. There is one
thing here to remember – sometimes your method has to be adjusted
for market volatility or if it is range bound.
It’s
all about sticking to your plan and experiencing feelings as they
arise. If you are unwilling to feel your feelings, the temptation is
to avoid them by jumping off your system. -Ed Seykota
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